Peut-on encore croire, après la crise de 2008, que les acteurs économiques sont rationnels et les marchés capables de s'autoréguler ? Keynes, avec la théorie des esprits animaux, avait démontré le contraire : l'économie réelle est bizarre, incertaine, irrégulière.Les esprits animaux, ce sont les facteurs psychologiques qui influencent notre économie, sa part d'incohérence et d'instabilité naturelles - et souhaitables ! Car si l'incertitude qu'elle génère, à certaines périodes, nous paralyse, elle se révèle, à d'autres, stimulante et féconde.Les auteurs expliquent comment ces comportements irrationnels font et défont nos économies. Comment adviennent les crises ? Quel est le pouvoir réel des banques centrales ? Le chômage est-il inéluctable ? Revisitant les grands épisodes de l'histoire économique, cet ouvrage donne la clé d'une autre vision de l'économie - plus réelle, et plus humaine.
From Nobel Prize-winning economist and New York Times bestselling author Robert Shiller, a groundbreaking account of how stories help drive economic events-and why financial panics can spread like epidemic viruses
Stories people tell-about financial confidence or panic, housing booms, or Bitcoin-can go viral and powerfully affect economies, but such narratives have traditionally been ignored in economics and finance because they seem anecdotal and unscientific. In this groundbreaking book, Robert Shiller explains why we ignore these stories at our peril-and how we can begin to take them seriously. Using a rich array of examples and data, Shiller argues that studying popular stories that influence individual and collective economic behavior-what he calls "narrative economics"-may vastly improve our ability to predict, prepare for, and lessen the damage of financial crises and other major economic events. The result is nothing less than a new way to think about the economy, economic change, and economics. In a new preface, Shiller reflects on some of the challenges facing narrative economics, discusses the connection between disease epidemics and economic epidemics, and suggests why epidemiology may hold lessons for fighting economic contagions.
The subprime mortgage crisis wreaked havoc on the lives of millions of people and threatened to derail the US economy and economies around the world. This book calls for a restructuring of the institutional foundations of the financial system that can allow people once again to buy and sell homes with confidence.
The global financial crisis has made it clear that powerful psychological forces are imperiling the wealth of nations. This title challenges the economic wisdom that got us into this mess, and puts forward a vision that transforms economics and restores prosperity. It asserts the necessity of an active government role in economic policymaking.
The author proposes a new infrastructure of risk management, aiming to protect the wealth of nations and their citizens. This book is about risk management technology and how it could be utilized to democratise finance, thus helping to solve the problem of gratuitous economic inequality.
Argues that finance should be defined not merely as the manipulation of money or the management of risk but as the stewardship of society's assets, and that new ways to rechannel financial creativity to benefit society as a whole are needed.
